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U.S. spot XRP ETF approval odds near 100% mark

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The likelihood of a U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) receiving regulatory approval by the end of 2025 has surged to nearly 100%, with several applications now under review. According to Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas, the XRP spot ETF currently has a 95% chance of being approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In an X post on July 1, the analysts highlighted that XRP now ranks among the top digital assets most likely to secure spot ETF approval this year, joining Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Here are mine and @EricBalchunas' most recent odds on spot crypto ETF approvals by the end of 2025. We expect a wave of new ETFs in this second half of 2025. pic.twitter.com/H3pxJhqMy3 — James Seyffart (@JSeyff) June 30, 2025 Major issuers, including Grayscale, Bitwise, and Canary, have already filed applications for XRP ETFs, which the SEC formally acknowledged earlier in 2025. The final SEC decision dead...